The ETS is a cap-and-trade system that applies an additional cost to fossil-based emissions. The expansion of ETS to waste will bring additional costs as it seeks to influence a reduction in emissions from incineration and energy from waste. ETS is a market-led scheme meaning the costs are volatile, moving around with the market due to factors often outside of the waste systems control. It is important to recognise local government is not a commercial operator but a public service provider. Local authorities are legally obligated to collect all types of waste including those that do not participate in recycling schemes, and those difficult and expensive to process. Unlike private operatives, local authorities cannot refuse waste collections based on their composition of processing complexities.
Costings analysis commissioned by the Local Government Association, County Councils Network and District Councils' Network show the proposals could cost councils as much as £747 million in 2028 and could rise to £1.1 billion in 2036, with a total cumulative cost over this period as high as £6.5 billion. This is an enormous cost that would create real challenges for local government and its statutory requirement to set a balanced budget each year. While the high-cost scenario may not come to pass, councils would need to take action to budget for this scenario given the level of uncertainty due to the price volatility.
Our priority issues are set out below:
Right incentives in the right place
The LGA has supported the principle to reduce emissions via the ETS. We have stressed, however, that the scheme can only properly achieve its objectives by putting cost incentives in the right place with a priority focus on reducing the production of fossil-based waste in the first place. We have cautioned against the risk that costs are left in local government without the levers to pass them onto the producers of the fossil-based material, because this would simultaneously reduce the scheme’s capacity to achieve its objectives while exposing local government to further financial risk.
Decarbonisation pathways for fossil-based packaging waste
It is welcome that the Government has proposed to pass the ETS costs associated with fossil-based packaging waste onto producers via the packaging Extended Producer Scheme (pEPR), as it provides some clarity about how the ETS will drive the change for packaging. The Government estimates 20 to 30 per cent of fossil-based waste by weight is in scope of pEPR. Although it varies between sites, we estimate around 18 per cent of fossil-based waste from councils is in scope for pEPR.
Given the complexities of both reforms this would need careful planning to ensure that costs are appropriately passed through to producers. In our view this should be an early priority for government and partners. This task will likely include: understanding waste composition and recycling opportunities and challenges for different items, ensuring correct pass through from operators (using actuals rather than calculations), stabilising cost volatility, connecting ETS costs by emissions with pEPR costs by weight, dealing with the data lag, and ensuring alignment of incentives to reduce waste in a cost effective way.
In our view government should progress the simplest approach, which might be requiring operators to report fossil-based emissions from packaging onto the ETS authority which passed through to the pEPR Scheme Administrator for inclusion in fee modulation.
It is likely that packaging producers will not welcome this, arguing that they would rather the material is returned to them than incinerated. However, it is the principle aim of the ETS to apply incentives where there are the powers for market change, it is the ‘polluter pays’ principle. Until pEPR, producers have needed to have little regard to the onward journey of the material it puts on the market. We therefore support plans to bring pEPR and ETS together to incentivise the change in behaviour in line with the waste hierarchy.
Government guidance on contract matters would be welcome. It will be important to provide advice to operators and local government on issues such as managing contract change, monitoring, reporting, what is effective cost pass through, procedures for dealing with disputes and so on. To ensure effective pass through it is critical that operators pass actual data through the system, rather than estimate calculations, or simply take associated plant costs and distribute evenly across customers without consideration of who is bringing what. This will represent a qualifying change in law with potentially significant burden on the public sector, some councils have already been contacted by operators about this intention.
Decarbonisation pathways for non-packaging fossil-based material
There are currently no advanced plans to bring about EPR schemes for remaining fossil-based material for which there are recycling challenges or no recycling market – such as textiles, hard plastics, electricals, Absorbent Hygiene Products (AHPs), and hazardous waste (such as containing Persistent Organic Pollutants). Most of this material is problematic for a mix of reasons, for instance the growth of fast fashion and inclusion of plastics, the inability to recycle AHP, and the composite nature of electricals. Overall ETS liabilities for this material could risk pushing enormous costs to local authorities, potentially up to £0.5 billion in 2028.
In our view it would be inappropriate to allow operators to pass these costs through to local government. This would simultaneously eliminate the scheme’s capacity to achieve its objective by failing to put any incentives on the producers of the material, while at the same time exposing local government large financial risk that they have little scope to reduce at one of the most difficult times in the sector’s history.
Instead, in the short term, operators should report ETS liabilities for the different groups of non-packaging material into the ETS Authority, for the government to then decide how to pass those costs directly onto producers of that material. There are different options for passing this cost on. For instance, through a national levy applied to producers, or through a simple EPR scheme adding a small cost on each item, and refining over time, or adding to existing instruments for instance by expanding the Plastic Packaging Tax. The approaches for different material types could vary depending on the different factors for each item, and engagement on these options should start soon. In our view, the preferred options should be as straightforward as possible in the short-term.
Thinking longer-term, government should engage producers, local government, and operators to understand these waste streams in more detail, and to explore the options for creating the decarbonisation pathways. Significant contributors of fossil-based emissions, such as modern textiles industry, and plastics, are complex. Options might include EPR schemes, which might be like packaging EPR, or might be tailored differently for different materials. The packaging EPR scheme is complex and may not be the right approach for other material. We note that government has indicated an appetite to explore EPR for furniture and textiles.
The case for protecting councils from ETS liabilities is particularly strong for the hazardous waste that local government is being directed to incinerate by law, such as waste upholstered domestic seating (WUDS) containing Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs). The government has yet to provide local government with the funding to adjust systems to process WUDS with POPs, which is over £500 million. It is the possible that the requirement to incinerate will extend to other items containing POPs (such as carpets, electricals) in the years ahead, adding to the risk. The European Court of Justice has judged that incinerators for hazardous waste should be excluded from the EU ETS. If the UK ETS includes hazardous waste, there might be an economic incentive to export.
How the costs may fall across the country
The exposure to ETS costs for individual local authorities will vary between places due to a wide range of factors outside of their control. For instance, demographics, deprivation, housing can all dramatically impact waste composition or the wider recycling rate; whether transient populations like students, or larger proportions of new families producing more sanitary waste, areas with more communal housing or flats above shops, and so on. There is therefore a risk that pushing costs into local government could put local authorities with more deprived neighbourhoods under greatest financial pressure, and so working against both polluter pays principle and our ambitions to support a just transition.
Furthermore, each local authority’s exposure will be impacted by the decisions of their operators. For instance, whether their operator decides to invest in carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS). It is important the ETS incentivises operators to complete based on their capacity to reduce emissions. This means emissions must be measured at the stack and applied to the operator as is currently the case. A calculations-based approach creates a few risks, for instance the incentive to over-charge local authorities in order to offer a better commercial rate. Overall, the exposure to local authorities is outside of their control.
Scope available to local authorities to reduce fossil-based emissions
Government has proposed establishing a competitive funding scheme bid into by local authorities to run projects delivering waste reduction. While funding into waste reduction is welcome, behaviour change schemes or collection reforms can make some difference but evidence from experience demonstrates that they can be expensive and unlikely to significantly reduce emissions. Furthermore, we do not support the creation of more national programmes forcing local authorities to compete against each other for small pots of funding in an already complex funding landscape. The approach creates uncertainty and inefficiencies across the public sector, in our view funding for such measures should be within multi-year funding allocations to each local authority.
Overall, however, we have some concerns about the value for money case should funding paid into the ETS by local government taxpayers be recycled back out to the sector to run some projects to reduce the impact of a scheme designed to drive market change. The priority must be putting the incentives on producers with regards material that is put on the market and in shaping wider consumer behaviour.
Local government can have some impact, but we have few levers to make a significant difference to the level and composition of waste put on the market. The government should take this opportunity to return powers to local authorities, by ending plans to require more frequent residual waste collections which can increase recyclable material deposited in residual waste, and by returning powers to take enforcement action on households failing to appropriately use household services. Further, pEPR, DRS and Simpler Recycling should provide a wider supportive framework for local authorities to run services that reduce emissions from fossil-based waste.
The deployment of carbon capture, use and storage (CCUS), and for combined heat and power (CHP) technologies could reduce ETS costs. This is an important part of the future solution, and all partners should come together to consider how to deploy these technologies over the long-term. However, it is expensive and takes time to bring forward, while ETS may incentivise some operators down this route, there is a need for a wider discussion about how to deploy this technology.
Compensating local government
The Government has acknowledged that there is a financial risk to local government and local taxpayers and is considering some level of compensation through a new burdens assessment. This is a welcome recognition, however in our view any new burdens assessment should take account of the fact that local government must set a balanced budget each year. It must be able to respond to ETS as a market-led scheme with significant costs that are volatile in the short term, with a long-term upward pressure as the cap falls.
In our view, compensation for local government should be included within the local government finance settlement, alongside stabilising those ETS costs or providing assurance that they will not rise over a given level. Government has made welcome commitments to move towards multi-year local government settlements to provide financial certainty. This will help local authorities plan spending across local government services, and so ETS compensation within this context would need further consideration.
However overall, it is our view that it would be simpler and more effective by not passing ETS costs onto the sector in the first place, and instead seek to ensure costs flow through to producers in the most straightforward way possible. There is a risk of establishing an administrative system that expends energy circulating costs around the public sector, creating complexity and burden without having any real impact on those producing the fossil-based waste in the first place.
In summary the Local Government Association view is that the ETS extension to include waste should:
- prioritise putting the cost incentives on producers to drive down the production of fossil-based emissions.
- pass the ETS costs for associated packaging waste onto producers through pEPR, and that it be the initial priority to deliver this successfully.
- avoid transferring any costs for non-packaging fossil-based waste on to local government as there is no strong decarbonisation pathway or existing recycling market.
- in the short-term, require operators to report non-packaging emissions into the ETS authority in order to pass costs onto producers by other means such as through a new levy, or adding to an existing instrument.
- simultaneously consider options for best passing costs through to producers for different materials in the long-term, including EPR schemes.
- compensate local government as part of the local government finance settlement; though in our view it is simpler not to pass costs onto local government in the first place.
- engage all partners in planning and incentivising long-term use of carbon capture and storage technologies.